Failed technology predictions
Rumor has it that one day bill gates said: «We’ll never make a 32-bit system.» History knows many such unfulfilled expectations from such «Nostradamus», whose technology forecasts now bring a smile to the reader. Let’s look into the past and get acquainted with several such failed prophecies.
«Now in our market more than 15 types of foreign cars from Japan. But we believe that these vehicles will not be able to find a larger market than we have now», «Businessweek», 1968.
«The coming of the wireless era will make war impossible, because to fight would be stupid» – Guglielmo Marconi, one of the inventors of radio.
«Well informed people know it is impossible to transmit the human voice over wires, as this can only be done by the dot and dash of Morse code. And even if it were possible, then what is the practical meaning?!» – letter from an unknown reader in the «Boston Gazette,» 1800.
«The phonograph has no commercial value,» Thomas Edison.
«The TV market will not take root in six months it will be gone. Very soon people will get tired of staring at a plywood box every night» – Darryl Zanuck, founder of 20th Century Fox.
«It’s time to close the book of infectious diseases. We destroyed almost all of the infection on the territory of the United States,» William Stewart, surgeon General US, 1967.
«There is no reason to assume that everyone will want to have in your home computer» – Ken Olson, founder Digital Equipment Corp, 1977.
«The Internet is like a supernova – first a bright flash, and in 1996, everyone will forget about him» – Robert Metcalfe, the Creator of the Internet, the magazine «InfoWorld», 1995.
«Y2K is a crisis that has no precedent in human history», – «Byte Magazine», 1998.
«Machines heavier than air to fly» – physicist William Thomson, Lord Kelvin.
«Railway is not just cause of the decline of the country, but will destroy all of England! And the passengers will tear apart, burst boilers», – «Quarterly Review», March, 1825.
«Over the next two decades will create cars with complex wings» – Eddie Rickenbacker, pilot, 1924.
«Cell phones will never replace local wire systems», Marty Cooper, a physicist, 1981.